Worldwide Retail Ecommerce Forecast 2024 Midyear Update

Digital Sales Will Cross $6 Trillion as Stability Settles In Across Core Markets

Middling retail sales growth and healthy-if-unspectacular ecommerce growth are both the new status quo in most major markets. Unexpected highlights still exist, but double-digit growth is increasingly hard to find. Ecommerce penetration is steadily rising once again, but digital’s share grab has become a slow march everywhere other than China.

Key Question: What is the outlook for worldwide, regional, and country-by-country retail and ecommerce sales in 2024 and beyond?

Key Stat: Worldwide ecommerce sales will increase by 8.4% this year—a low figure by the standards of the 2010s, but representative of the new normal for many countries. That increase will translate to nearly $500 billion in new spending.

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authors

Ethan Cramer-Flood

Contributors

Cosima Balletti-Thomas
Associate Forecasting Analyst
Paul Briggs
Principal Analyst
Oscar Bruce Jr.
Senior Forecasting Analyst
Sky Canaves
Principal Analyst
Diego Dell’Orco
Vivian Dong
Associate Forecasting Analyst
Iwona Drapala
Senior Forecasting Analyst
Jasmin Ellis
Zach Goldner
Forecasting Analyst
Brian Lau
Forecasting Analyst
Penelope Lin
Director, Data Visualization
Wendy Louie-Lam
Senior Forecasting Analyst
Wendy Malloy
Director, Reports Editor
Peter Newman
Director, Forecasting
Naomi Rebuelta
Copy Editor
Andrew Spink
Forecasting Analyst
Antonella Yannelli

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