What’s holding alcohol back?
“The alcohol industry is very highly regulated, which is a long-term prohibitor of digital growth,” Droesch said. Some states forbid brands from selling directly to consumers, while other states restrict third-party delivery services such as Instacart and Uber Eats.
Still, US alcohol off-premise retail ecommerce sales (i.e., sales of alcoholic beverages purchased through retailers online to be consumed at home; not including sales at restaurants or bars) are expected to rise 8.4% YoY in 2024, reaching $7.43 billion, per our November 2023 forecast. Growth will continue through the end of our forecast period in 2027, when it will break the $10 billion mark, as companies like Amazon and DoorDash lobby for eased alcohol delivery regulations.
What are the growth opportunities?
“It’s about diversifying your product offering in order to meet the consumer for what they want at the moment,” Droesch said, whether it’s nonalcoholic drinks or more premium products.
As Gen Z gravitates toward innovations like spiked kombucha and organic wines, with nearly half of the generation purchasing beverages labeled “natural,” per a 2022 Food Insight study cited by Forbes, Droesch expects popularity for more basic, mid-end drinks to stall.
“[The trend] is going to have a permanent effect on the sales of light beer, for example, particularly as the older generations, which are really propping up these industries, start to make less of an impact,” he said.
Molson Coors, for example, is responding by expanding its portfolio of premium beverages with Simply Spiked lemonades and Peace Hard Tea, as well as its acquisition of Blue Run Spirits last August.
Consumers need a range of options so they can stay loyal to your brand no matter how their drinking preferences change, Droesch said.
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