US Amazon Ecommerce Forecast 2024

The Ecommerce Giant Continues to Gain Market Share, but Faces New Threats From Temu and Others

Report by Blake Droesch  | UPDATED: Apr 5, 2024
Download
Report
Deck
Executive Summary
Share
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
How big will Amazon get?
Amazon’s US ecommerce business returns to form
How will Amazon’s ecommerce business evolve over the next two years?
What do Amazon’s market share gains say about the competitive landscape?
Media Gallery
About This Report
Amazon will continue to gain market share, but new competition from Temu, Walmart, and other retailers could stunt future dominance.
Topics
Retail Categories
Ecommerce Sales
United States
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
How big will Amazon get?
Amazon’s US ecommerce business returns to form
How will Amazon’s ecommerce business evolve over the next two years?
What do Amazon’s market share gains say about the competitive landscape?
Media Gallery

Despite already dominating the US market, Amazon’s ecommerce sales are growing faster than those of its competitors in nearly every product category. But new threats from Temu, Walmart, and other players may challenge its reign in the coming years.

Key Question: What is the two-year outlook for Amazon’s US ecommerce business?

Amazon Will Surpass 40% of US Ecommerce Sales in 2024
E-Mail ChartDownload

Key Stat: Amazon will capture more than 40% of US ecommerce sales in 2024.

Here’s what’s in the full report

3files

Exportable files for easy reading, analysis and sharing.

10charts

Reliable data in simple displays for presentations and quick decision making.

Table of Contents

  1. Executive Summary
  2. How big will Amazon get?
  1. Amazon’s US ecommerce business returns to form
  2. How will Amazon’s ecommerce business evolve over the next two years?
  1. What do Amazon’s market share gains say about the competitive landscape?
  2. Media Gallery

Charts in This Report

Amazon Will Surpass 40% of US Ecommerce Sales in 2024In 2023, Amazon's Sales Growth Outpaced the Market by the Largest Margin Since 2019
Amazon's US Sales Growth Exceeded the Total Market by Over 5 Percentage Points in 5 CategoriesAmazon Will Continue to Grow Faster Than Most Leading Retailers, Aside From Walmart (billions in US ecommerce sales and % change, by company, 2024-2025)
Health, Personal Care, and Beauty and Apparel, Footwear, and Accessories Will Play a Larger Role in Amazon's Ecommerce Business (category % of US Amazon retail ecommerce sales, 2023-2025)Amazon's Category Growth Mostly Aligns With the US Ecommerce Market (US Amazon vs. total ecommerce CAGR, by category, 2023-2025)
Amazon's Largest Market-Share Gains Will Come From Categories It Already Dominates Amazon Will Struggle to Gain Share in Household Goods Categories
Amazon Will Lose Market Share in Two Categories: Home Improvement and Auto and PartsPotential Threats to Amazon's Dominance

Access full deck

View a slide-show representation of this report’s key insights, where carefully vetted data is combined with industry trend analysis, included at no extra cost.
Gain Access to EMARKETER →
Log in to EMARKETER
Download PPTX

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Access All Charts and Data

Gain access to reliable data presented in clear and intelligible displays for quick understanding and decision making on the most important topics related to your industry, included at no extra cost.
Gain Access to EMARKETER →
Log in to EMARKETER
Download PDF

First Published on Apr 4, 2024

authors

Blake Droesch

Contributors

Suzy Davidkhanian
Principal Analyst, Retail & Ecommerce
Brian Lau
Forecasting Analyst
Sarah Marzano

Latest Reports

Paid Social Forecast Report H1 2024
Report
Paid Social Forecast Report H1 2024
The State of Payment Transaction Types
Report
The State of Payment Transaction Types
The 2024 Healthcare Consumer
Report
The 2024 Healthcare Consumer
Canada Mobile Banking Emerging Features Benchmark 2024​
Report
Canada Mobile Banking Emerging Features Benchmark 2024​
Canada Digital Ad Spending 2024
Report
Canada Digital Ad Spending 2024
Restaurant Digitization 2024
Report
Restaurant Digitization 2024
What Advertisers Can Learn From Privacy Industry Events 2024
Report
What Advertisers Can Learn From Privacy Industry Events 2024
Maximizing the Impact of B2B Event Marketing
Report
Maximizing the Impact of B2B Event Marketing
Bank Brand Safety on Social Media
Report
Bank Brand Safety on Social Media
US P&C Insurance Trends to Watch in 2024
Report
US P&C Insurance Trends to Watch in 2024
Temu, TikTok, and China’s Ecommerce Players in Western Europe
Report
Temu, TikTok, and China’s Ecommerce Players in Western Europe
Digital Audio Ad Spending Forecast and Trends Q2 2024
Report
Digital Audio Ad Spending Forecast and Trends Q2 2024
What Banks Need to Know About Gen Alpha
Report
What Banks Need to Know About Gen Alpha
The State of Influencer-Brand Deals 2024
Report
The State of Influencer-Brand Deals 2024
Ad Measurement Trends H1 2024
Report
Ad Measurement Trends H1 2024

Popular on EMARKETER

Data Drop: 5 Charts on Netflix Advertising
Article
Data Drop: 5 Charts on Netflix Advertising
Google delays the end of cookies for a third time after regulator and industry pushback
Article
Google delays the end of cookies for a third time after regulator and industry pushback
Data Drop: 3 Things to Know About How Baby Boomers Use Tech
Article
Data Drop: 3 Things to Know About How Baby Boomers Use Tech
Canada Digital Ad Spending 2024
Report
Canada Digital Ad Spending 2024
Streaming service loyalty wanes as serial churning rises
Article
Streaming service loyalty wanes as serial churning rises
PubMatic and GroupM will offer cookieless ad inventory
Article
PubMatic and GroupM will offer cookieless ad inventory
TikTok launches Notes, but existential threats loom large
Article
TikTok launches Notes, but existential threats loom large
CPG recovery is uneven as cost pressures exacerbate market bifurcation
Article
CPG recovery is uneven as cost pressures exacerbate market bifurcation
Sephora and L’Oréal strong results suggest Ulta may have overstated beauty industry challenges
Article
Sephora and L’Oréal strong results suggest Ulta may have overstated beauty industry challenges
TikTok ban signed by President Biden, giving ByteDance 9 months to sell
Article
TikTok ban signed by President Biden, giving ByteDance 9 months to sell
Spotify comes out strong in Q1 but is still fishing for the next thing
Article
Spotify comes out strong in Q1 but is still fishing for the next thing
Google delays deprecation of third-party cookies once again
Article
Google delays deprecation of third-party cookies once again
Hyundai hits brakes on X ads amid brand safety concerns—even as auto industry embraces digital advertising
Article
Hyundai hits brakes on X ads amid brand safety concerns—even as auto industry embraces digital ...
Maximizing the Impact of B2B Event Marketing
Report
Maximizing the Impact of B2B Event Marketing
TikTok outperforms YouTube Shorts and Reels viewership
Article
TikTok outperforms YouTube Shorts and Reels viewership

Latest Forecasts

Pay TV Households & Viewers, UK
Forecasts
Pay TV Households & Viewers, UK
Pay TV Households & Viewers, Canada
Forecasts
Pay TV Households & Viewers, Canada
Total Media Ad Spending, UK
Forecasts
Total Media Ad Spending, UK
Desktop/Laptop Ad Spending, UK
Forecasts
Desktop/Laptop Ad Spending, UK
UK Nonmobile Ad Spending
Forecasts
UK Nonmobile Ad Spending
UK Amazon
Forecasts
UK Amazon
Digital Ad Spending, UK
Forecasts
Digital Ad Spending, UK
Out-of-Home Ad Spending, UK
Forecasts
Out-of-Home Ad Spending, UK
Retail Media Ad Spending, by Country
Forecasts
Retail Media Ad Spending, by Country
Display Ad Spending, UK
Forecasts
Display Ad Spending, UK
Video Ad Spending, UK
Forecasts
Video Ad Spending, UK
Retail Media Ad Spending, China
Forecasts
Retail Media Ad Spending, China
Ecommerce Channel Ad Spending, China
Forecasts
Ecommerce Channel Ad Spending, China
Traditional Media Ad Spending
Forecasts
Traditional Media Ad Spending
Total Media Ad Spending, China
Forecasts
Total Media Ad Spending, China

"Behind the Numbers" Podcast

Around the World: What Amazon’s “Just Walk Out” rollback tells us about the future of the in-store experience
Audio
Around the World: What Amazon’s “Just Walk Out” rollback tells us about the future of the in-store ...
The Weekly Listen: The TikTok ban gets signed into law, is AI ready to change search, and social commerce's ceiling
Audio
The Weekly Listen: The TikTok ban gets signed into law, is AI ready to change search, and social ...
The Daily: How Netflix surprised folks, how much advertising will move the needle, and what its "Next Act" will be
Audio
The Daily: How Netflix surprised folks, how much advertising will move the needle, and what its ...
Reimagining Retail: The Unofficial Most Interesting Retailers List (April)
Audio
Reimagining Retail: The Unofficial Most Interesting Retailers List (April)
The Daily: GenAI's economic impact, part 2—the effect on jobs, Apple's GenAI strategy and AI's measurement problem
Audio
The Daily: GenAI's economic impact, part 2—the effect on jobs, Apple's GenAI strategy and AI's ...
The Daily: GenAI's economic impact, part 1—the economy, Amazon's AI investments and ChatGPT in the physical world
Audio
The Daily: GenAI's economic impact, part 1—the economy, Amazon's AI investments and ChatGPT in the ...
The Weekly Listen: What replaces "Just Walk Out" as the future of retail, the Atlantic's come back, and igniting TV shopping
Audio
The Weekly Listen: What replaces "Just Walk Out" as the future of retail, the Atlantic's come back, ...
The Daily: How to make your brand the right amount of safe, vertical video ads for TV, and Hulu content on Disney+
Audio
The Daily: How to make your brand the right amount of safe, vertical video ads for TV, and Hulu ...
Reimagining Retail: How to reduce friction at the point of sale and predictions for the future of retail payments
Audio
Reimagining Retail: How to reduce friction at the point of sale and predictions for the future of ...
The Daily: GenAI and healthcare, part 1—How consumers are using GenAI to look up health information and how physicians feel
Audio
The Daily: GenAI and healthcare, part 1—How consumers are using GenAI to look up health information ...
The Daily: GenAI and healthcare, part 2—How physicians are using GenAI for patient care and a 'DIY health clinic-in-a-box'
Audio
The Daily: GenAI and healthcare, part 2—How physicians are using GenAI for patient care and a 'DIY ...
The Weekly Listen: Caitlin Clark's effect on March Madness, a women's sports revolution, and who will rule the new pay TV world?
Audio
The Weekly Listen: Caitlin Clark's effect on March Madness, a women's sports revolution, and who ...
The Daily: How marketers are using GenAI, where we pay most attention to social media ads, and Chase's retail media network
Audio
The Daily: How marketers are using GenAI, where we pay most attention to social media ads, and ...
Reimagining Retail: The beauty path to purchase and how social media trends have influenced beauty products and marketing
Audio
Reimagining Retail: The beauty path to purchase and how social media trends have influenced beauty ...
The Banking & Payments Show: The Crypto Renaissance
Audio
The Banking & Payments Show: The Crypto Renaissance