US Buy Now, Pay Later Forecast 2022

BNPL User, Volume Growth Will Defy a Grim Economic Outlook

Executive Summary

Buy now, pay later (BNPL) fintechs are facing doom-and-gloom predictions that they’ll falter or shutter altogether. But we expect that growing merchant acceptance and cross-generational usage growth in the coming years—paired with the BNPL industry’s shift to a super app model—will help them surmount this negative outlook.

Key Question: What factors will drive growth in the number of US BNPL users and payment value through 2026?

KEY STAT: By 2026, almost 40% of US internet users will use a BNPL solution, highlighting how the payment method is edging further into the mainstream.

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Table of Contents

  1. Executive Summary
  2. BNPL Usage and Payment Volume Growth Will Defy Industry Concerns
  3. What’s Driving BNPL Usage and Payment Value Growth?
  1. What’s Inhibiting BNPL Usage and Payment Value Growth?
  2. What Disruptors Could Shake Up Our Forecast?
  3. Read Next
  1. Sources
  2. Media Gallery

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Grace Broadbent


Daniel Decea
Researcher, Financial Services
David Morris
Principal Analyst
Oscar Orozco
Director, Forecasting

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