Beyond the chart: So long as it continues operating within the US in much the same fashion, TikTok will pass the 1 billion milestone in global monthly users in 2025, per our estimates, which exclude fake, duplicate, or business accounts by drawing primarily from consumer survey data.
The US will account for more than 110 million of those users. If regulators enact a ban or even a less comprehensive restriction on TikTok, that milestone moment could drift farther away, or not come at all.
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Methodology: Estimates are based on the analysis of survey and traffic data from research firms and regulatory agencies; the growth trajectory of major social networks; historical trends; internet and mobile adoption trends; and country-specific demographic and socioeconomic factors.